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Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Predicción 91.43%1.09momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -2.91%
Kelly -51.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.10%91.39%91.57%92.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.051.051.0697.09%95.56%95.24%94.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Connecticut Sun (Visitante)
Predicción 8.57%11.66momio equitativo
EV +11.45%
Ventaja +0.881%
Kelly +0.954%
Crecimiento +0.109%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.47%8.61%8.43%11.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.7010.7710.5013.0012.99%9.29%9.52%7.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Dream (Local): 91.43%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 8.57%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.66. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 13.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.45%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +11.45%E +0.881%K +0.954%G +0.109% | 2.9% | 2026-09-17 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 23:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 23:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008% | 4.5% | 2026-09-17 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.83%E -5.66%K -194.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.83%E -5.66%K -194.35%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +2.88%E +0.240%K +0.262%G +0.008% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.83%EV -3.09%E -2.91%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 11.91I 8.40%NM 8.17%EV +2.11%E +0.177%K +0.193%G +0.004% | 2.7% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -1.41%E -0.122%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.18%E -0.191%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 22:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV -2.18%E -0.191%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 22:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV -2.27%E -0.199%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -3.55%E -0.316%K -0.346%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.09%E -2.91%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-17 22:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 19:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 21:32 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-17 21:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -5.69%E -0.518%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -9.98%E -0.951%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 15:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.75%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.30I 9.71%NM 9.25%EV -11.70%E -1.14%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -3.09%E -2.91%K -51.46%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -13.41%E -1.33%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.00%E -3.81%K -80.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -14.27%E -1.43%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -18.55%E -1.95%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 16:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.10%EV -4.92%E -4.73%K -122.90%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.90%EV -33.99%E -4.41%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 22:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-09-17 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |