Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream v Chicago Sky

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 20:15 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 93–91 Chicago Sky

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 82.75%1.21fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -8.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.62%82.70%82.83%84.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.161.1990.09%86.76%86.21%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 17.25%5.80fair odd
EV +7.83%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.117%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.77%17.30%17.17%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.435.406.2520.41%18.41%18.52%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 82.75%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 17.25%. For Chicago Sky (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77%EV +7.83%E +1.25%K +1.49%G +0.117%1.5%2026-07-19 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.52%E +0.586%K +0.704%G +0.025%4.4%2026-07-19 19:10
betano_uk🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.067%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.067%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:54
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.29%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV -0.278%E -0.048%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 20:00
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:10
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:09
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.50%E -5.75%K -49.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.66%E -0.291%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -3.38%E -0.604%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.38%E -0.604%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.25%E -0.765%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 19:40
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:00
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:10
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 19:05
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:00
GTbets🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.78%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.22%EV -5.45%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -5.80%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 19:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -5.80%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:00
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:00
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 19:59
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:37
BetRivers🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 20:06
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 20:00
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 20:00
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 20:00
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 19:10
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 20:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.15%E -7.34%K -74.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -1.53%E -1.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -14.60%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.46%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 83.05%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.95%0.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-07-19 20:00
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%3.7%2026-07-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%3.7%2026-07-19 20:10
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%4.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%9.7%2026-07-19 20:10