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Atlanta Dream v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Predicción 82.75%1.21momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -8.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.62%82.70%82.83%84.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.161.1990.09%86.76%86.21%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 17.25%5.80momio equitativo
EV +7.83%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.117%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.77%17.30%17.17%19.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.905.435.406.2520.41%18.41%18.52%16.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Atlanta Dream (Local): 82.75%; Chicago Sky (Visitante): 17.25%. Para Chicago Sky (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.80. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.83%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77%EV +7.83%E +1.25%K +1.49%G +0.117% | 1.5% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.52%E +0.586%K +0.704%G +0.025% | 4.4% | 2026-07-19 19:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.067%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.067%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-19 19:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.29%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV -0.278%E -0.048%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.50%E -5.75%K -49.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.66%E -0.291%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -3.38%E -0.604%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.38%E -0.604%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-19 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.25%E -0.765%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.78%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.22%EV -5.45%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -5.80%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 19:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -5.80%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-19 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 19:37 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 20:06 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-19 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-19 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.15%E -7.34%K -74.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-19 19:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -1.53%E -1.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -14.60%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.46%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.05% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.95% | 0.3% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75% | 1.3% | 2026-07-19 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28% | 3.3% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 3.3% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54% | 3.7% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08% | 4.3% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60% | 9.7% | 2026-07-19 20:10 |