A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Dream v Chicago Sky

Início: 2026-07-19 20:15 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 93–91 Chicago Sky

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 82.75%1.21odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -8.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.62%82.70%82.83%84.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.151.161.1990.09%86.76%86.21%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Sky (Visitante)

Previsão 17.25%5.80odd justa
EV +7.83%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +1.49%
Crescimento +0.117%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.77%17.30%17.17%19.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.905.435.406.2520.41%18.41%18.52%16.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 84.23%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.77%EV +7.83%E +1.25%K +1.49%G +0.117%1.5%2026-07-19 20:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +3.52%E +0.586%K +0.704%G +0.025%4.4%2026-07-19 19:10
betano_uk1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.067%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:55
Bet Victor1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +0.067%E +0.012%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-19 19:54
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.29%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV -0.278%E -0.048%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-19 20:00
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:10
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 20:09
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.50%E -5.75%K -49.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -0.795%E -0.138%K -0.167%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:00
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -1.66%E -0.291%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV -3.38%E -0.604%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 19:50
Fanatics1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -3.38%E -0.604%K -0.735%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 19:55
DraftKings1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -4.25%E -0.765%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 19:40
BetAnything1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:00
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 20:00
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:10
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:10
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 19:05
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 19:05
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.11%E -0.929%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 20:00
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 82.78%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.22%EV -5.45%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 20:10
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -5.80%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 19:59
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -5.80%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:00
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 20:00
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -6.83%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 19:59
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -3.19%E -2.72%K -18.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 19:37
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:39
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.01%E -3.46%K -25.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -8.56%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 19:40
MyBookie.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 20:06
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 20:00
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 20:00
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.42%E -1.79%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 20:00
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -4.84%E -4.21%K -32.27%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -10.28%E -1.98%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 19:10
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 18:40
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-19 20:10
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -8.15%E -7.34%K -74.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -13.74%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-19 19:40
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 80.62%EV -1.53%E -1.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.38%EV -14.60%E -2.95%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 20:10
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -5.67%E -4.97%K -40.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -15.46%E -3.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 20:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 83.05%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.95%0.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-07-19 20:00
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 82.72%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.28%3.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%3.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%3.7%2026-07-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%3.7%2026-07-19 20:10
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%4.3%2026-07-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 81.40%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%9.7%2026-07-19 20:10