Language:English
Villanova Wildcats v Butler Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Villanova Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 82.02%1.22fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -17.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%81.90%81.92%83.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.46%86.21%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Butler Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 17.98%5.56fair odd
EV +6.09%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.076%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.19%18.10%18.08%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.265.255.9022.73%19.01%19.05%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 82.02%; Butler Bulldogs (Visit): 17.98%. For Butler Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.56. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.09%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.076% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.59%E +0.282%K +0.342%G +0.005% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -0.746%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -0.746%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.14%E -7.27%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.14%E -7.27%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 22:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 22:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-25 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.70%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-25 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.70%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 23:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-25 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-25 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 15:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-25 15:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 22:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.29%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 19:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.88%E -4.75%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-02-25 19:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90% | 1.1% | 2026-02-25 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.20% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.80% | 3.1% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |