L’École des cotes

Villanova Wildcats v Butler Bulldogs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 00:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Prévision 82.02%1.22cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -17.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.85%81.90%81.92%83.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.46%86.21%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Butler Bulldogs (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.98%5.56cote équitable
EV +6.09%
Avantage +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.076%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.19%18.10%18.08%21.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.265.255.9022.73%19.01%19.05%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.09%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.076%4.7%2026-02-25 23:05
BetUS1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.59%E +0.282%K +0.342%G +0.005%3.9%2026-02-25 22:14
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -0.746%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 22:35
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -0.746%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 22:35
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 22:34
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 23:59
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
888sport1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:50
888sport (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:50
Mr Green (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:50
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.14%E -7.27%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:04
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.14%E -7.27%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 22:34
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 22:15
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 22:14
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:04
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.70%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 15:15
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.70%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:03
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 22:05
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 15:15
Fliff1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 23:05
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:10
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:09
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:09
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:09
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:09
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:59
TAB1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 22:20
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 15:09
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 15:08
Coral1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 22:19
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.29%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 19:30
Marathon Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.88%E -4.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-02-25 17:30
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-02-25 19:55
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90%1.1%2026-02-25 23:59
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 82.20%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.80%3.1%2026-02-25 23:50