默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Villanova Wildcats v Butler Bulldogs

开赛时间: 2026-02-26 00:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Villanova Wildcats (主队)

预测 82.02%1.22公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -2.73%
Kelly -17.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.18

博彩公司预测分布
78.85%81.90%81.92%83.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.161.161.1889.29%86.46%86.21%84.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Butler Bulldogs (客队)

预测 17.98%5.56公平赔率
EV +6.09%
优势 +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
增长率 +0.076%

假设最高赔率为 5.90

博彩公司预测分布
16.19%18.10%18.08%21.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.265.255.9022.73%19.01%19.05%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Villanova Wildcats (主队):82.02%;Butler Bulldogs (客队):17.98%。 对于“Butler Bulldogs (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.56。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.90,对应+6.09%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.09%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.076%4.7%2026-02-25 23:05
BetUS🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.59%E +0.282%K +0.342%G +0.005%3.9%2026-02-25 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -0.746%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.63%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.37%EV -0.746%E -0.135%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 22:35
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 22:34
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 23:59
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:14
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-25 23:50
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.14%E -7.27%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:04
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.14%E -7.27%K -67.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.11%E -0.201%K -0.246%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 22:34
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 22:15
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -2.90%E -0.538%K -0.660%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-25 23:04
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.70%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 15:15
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.70%E -0.887%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:03
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 15:15
Fliff🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -5.60%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.50%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 22:09
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:09
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 22:09
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -4.86%E -4.19%K -30.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-25 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.68%E -4.94%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -8.30%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-25 22:09
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:59
TAB🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 22:20
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 15:09
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.50%E -5.70%K -46.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-25 15:08
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.32%E -6.48%K -56.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.10%E -2.02%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 22:19
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.04%E -3.45%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -17.29%E -3.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.22%E -2.73%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.88%E -4.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-02-25 17:30
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-02-25 19:55
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.10%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.90%1.1%2026-02-25 23:59
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 82.20%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.80%3.1%2026-02-25 23:50