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UMBC Retrievers v Bryant Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UMBC Retrievers (Local)
Prediction 83.07%1.20fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -16.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.90%82.80%83.15%83.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.151.151.1789.29%87.12%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bryant Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 16.93%5.91fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.429%
Kelly -0.519%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.42%17.20%16.85%20.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.495.505.7621.51%18.23%18.18%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UMBC Retrievers (Local): 83.07%; Bryant Bulldogs (Visit): 16.93%. For Bryant Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.76, with an expected value of -2.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -2.81%E -2.40%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -21.27%E -4.57%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -8.23%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -11.95%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.47%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 22:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.47%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.49%E -0.612%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.49%E -0.612%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 22:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.18%E -0.925%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 22:37 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 22:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 22:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.95%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 22:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -10.26%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.47% | 6.88I 14.53%NM 14.53% | 0.0% | 2026-02-26 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 22:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 22:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 22:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 22:55 |