L’École des cotes

UMBC Retrievers v Bryant Bulldogs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

UMBC Retrievers (Local)

Prévision 83.07%1.20cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -2.40%
Kelly -16.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.90%82.80%83.15%83.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.151.151.1789.29%87.12%86.96%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bryant Bulldogs (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.93%5.91cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.429%
Kelly -0.519%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.42%17.20%16.85%20.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.655.495.505.7621.51%18.23%18.18%17.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -2.81%E -2.40%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -21.27%E -4.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 22:54
LeoVegas1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:40
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -8.23%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 22:55
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -11.95%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.47%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:49
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.47%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:50
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:49
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.49%E -0.612%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 22:50
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.49%E -0.612%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 22:54
Caesars1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.18%E -0.925%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 22:37
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 14:54
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 22:39
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 22:39
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 22:55
Betway1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:39
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:54
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:53
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 22:39
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.95%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 22:54
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 22:49
Fliff1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -10.26%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 22:54
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 22:49
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 22:39
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 22:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.17I 85.47%NM 85.47%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.53%0.0%2026-02-26 22:55
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-02-26 22:54
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-02-26 22:04
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-02-26 22:54
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-02-26 22:55