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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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UMBC Retrievers v Bryant Bulldogs

开赛时间： 2026-02-26 23:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UMBC Retrievers (主队)

预测 83.07%1.20公平赔率
EV -2.81%
优势 -2.40%
Kelly -16.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.17

博彩公司预测分布
79.90%82.80%83.15%83.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.151.151.1789.29%87.12%86.96%85.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bryant Bulldogs (客队)

预测 16.93%5.91公平赔率
EV -2.47%
优势 -0.429%
Kelly -0.519%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.76

博彩公司预测分布
16.42%17.20%16.85%20.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.655.495.505.7621.51%18.23%18.18%17.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：UMBC Retrievers (主队)：83.07%；Bryant Bulldogs (客队)：16.93%。 对于“Bryant Bulldogs (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.91。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为5.76，期望值为-2.47%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -2.81%E -2.40%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -21.27%E -4.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:40
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-26 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV -8.23%E -1.52%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 22:55
TAB🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.64%E -3.14%K -22.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -11.95%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.47%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.47%E -0.429%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:50
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 22:49
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.49%E -0.612%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.49%E -0.612%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 22:54
Caesars🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.18%E -0.925%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 22:37
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 14:54
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 22:39
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 22:39
PlayUp🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -15.34%E -3.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 22:55
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:54
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 22:53
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -8.57%E -1.59%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.95%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 22:54
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.64%E -0.459%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-26 22:49
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.13%E -5.43%K -47.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -10.26%E -1.94%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 22:54
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 22:49
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 22:39
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.22%K -58.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.87%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-26 22:39
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.17I 85.47%NM 85.47%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.53%0.0%2026-02-26 22:55
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-02-26 22:54
Polymarket◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-02-26 22:04
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-02-26 22:54
ProphetX◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-02-26 22:55