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UL Monroe Warhawks v Arkansas St Red Wolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UL Monroe Warhawks (Local)
Prediction 9.73%10.28fair odd
EV +10.91%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.114%
assuming max odds 11.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.36%9.86%9.58%13.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.029.1311.4014.29%11.08%10.96%8.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit)
Prediction 90.27%1.11fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -17.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.53%90.14%90.42%91.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.05%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UL Monroe Warhawks (Local): 9.73%; Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visit): 90.27%. For UL Monroe Warhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.28. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +10.91%E +0.957%K +1.05%G +0.114% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.02%E +0.638%K +0.702%G +0.049% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.58I 9.45%NM 9.11%EV +2.93%E +0.277%K +0.306%G +0.009% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.89%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-21 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.15%E +0.205%K +0.226%G +0.005% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +1.66%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +1.66%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 13:03 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 19:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -4.66%E -0.475%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.49%EV -7.02%E -6.82%K -234.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 13:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.31%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.41%E -3.19%K -48.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.31%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 19:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -31.90%E -4.56%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67% | 0.1% | 2026-02-21 19:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.32% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.68% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 1.6% | 2026-02-21 19:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18% | 2.3% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |