UL Monroe Warhawks v Arkansas St Red Wolves

Início: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

10%

90%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

UL Monroe Warhawks (Local)

Previsão 9.73%10.28odd justa

EV +10.91%

Vantagem +0.957%

Kelly +1.05%

Crescimento +0.114%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

8.36%9.86%9.58%13.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

7.009.029.1311.4014.29%11.08%10.96%8.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arkansas St Red Wolves (Visitante)

Previsão 90.27%1.11odd justa

EV -1.60%

Vantagem -1.47%

Kelly -17.82%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

86.53%90.14%90.42%91.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuição das odds

1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.05%94.34%91.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
FanDuel	11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +10.91%E +0.957%K +1.05%G +0.114%	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 18:44
theScore Bet	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.02%E +0.638%K +0.702%G +0.049%	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 19:45
Pinnacle	10.58I 9.45%NM 9.11%EV +2.93%E +0.277%K +0.306%G +0.009%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.89%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-02-21 19:30
BetUS	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.15%E +0.205%K +0.226%G +0.005%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag	10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +1.66%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-21 19:55
LowVig.ag	10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +1.66%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-02-21 19:55
Hard Rock Bet	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 13:03
PointsBet (AU)	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 19:00
Caesars	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 19:29
DraftKings	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 19:45
Bovada	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-21 19:46
Marathon Bet	9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -4.66%E -0.475%K -0.529%G +0.000%	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.49%EV -7.02%E -6.82%K -234.02%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 19:55
BetMGM	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 19:50
Betway	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-02-21 19:50
PlayUp	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 19:50
888sport	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-21 18:45
888sport (SE)	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-21 18:45
Mr Green (SE)	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 19:50
Neds	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-21 19:55
1xBet	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-21 13:05
Coral	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-21 19:50
Paddy Power	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-21 13:04
NordicBet	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 18:45
Betsson	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 18:45
Fliff	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 19:55
TAB	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.31%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.41%E -3.19%K -48.71%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-02-21 18:55
BoyleSports	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.31%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-21 19:49
LeoVegas	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:45
BetRivers	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:45
LiveScore Bet	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:20
Virgin Bet	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:20
Unibet	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:45
Bally Bet	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:20
ATG (SE)	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:20
Svenska Spel	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:20
betPARX	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 19:20
TABtouch	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -31.90%E -4.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 17:55

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
BetOpenly	12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%	1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67%	0.1%	2026-02-21 19:45
Polymarket	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	0.6%	2026-02-21 19:55
ProphetX	10.60I 9.43%NM 9.32%	1.09I 91.74%NM 90.68%	1.2%	2026-02-21 19:50
Novig	11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%	1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%	1.6%	2026-02-21 19:50
Kalshi	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%	1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%	2.3%	2026-02-21 19:05