默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UL Monroe Warhawks v Arkansas St Red Wolves

开赛时间: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

UL Monroe Warhawks (主队)

预测 9.73%10.28公平赔率
EV +10.91%
优势 +0.957%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.114%

假设最高赔率为 11.40

博彩公司预测分布
8.36%9.86%9.58%13.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.009.029.1311.4014.29%11.08%10.96%8.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

Arkansas St Red Wolves (客队)

预测 90.27%1.11公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -17.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.09

博彩公司预测分布
86.53%90.14%90.42%91.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.05%94.34%91.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:UL Monroe Warhawks (主队):9.73%;Arkansas St Red Wolves (客队):90.27%。 对于“UL Monroe Warhawks (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.28。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为11.40,对应+10.91%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +10.91%E +0.957%K +1.05%G +0.114%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 18:44
theScore Bet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +7.02%E +0.638%K +0.702%G +0.049%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Pinnacle🎯10.58I 9.45%NM 9.11%EV +2.93%E +0.277%K +0.306%G +0.009%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.89%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 19:30
BetUS🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +2.15%E +0.205%K +0.226%G +0.005%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +1.66%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +1.66%E +0.159%K +0.176%G +0.003%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 13:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:00
Caesars🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:29
DraftKings🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:45
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -2.71%E -0.271%K -0.301%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:46
Marathon Bet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.51%EV -4.66%E -0.475%K -0.529%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.49%EV -7.02%E -6.82%K -234.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:55
BetMGM🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:50
Betway🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:50
PlayUp🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.58%E -0.798%K -0.891%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:50
888sport🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.31%E -4.07%K -71.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 19:50
Neds🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -10.01%E -1.08%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:55
1xBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 13:05
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Paddy Power🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 13:04
NordicBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 18:45
Fliff🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -12.44%E -1.38%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.12%E -5.88%K -152.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:55
TAB🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.31%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.41%E -3.19%K -48.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:55
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.31%E -2.04%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.22%E -4.97%K -104.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:49
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:45
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:45
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:20
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:45
Bally Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:20
betPARX🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -27.04%E -3.60%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 19:20
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -31.90%E -4.56%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -1.60%E -1.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly12.00I 8.33%NM 8.33%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.67%0.1%2026-02-21 19:45
Polymarket12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-02-21 19:55
ProphetX10.60I 9.43%NM 9.32%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.68%1.2%2026-02-21 19:50
Novig11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-02-21 19:50
Kalshi12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%2.3%2026-02-21 19:05