Language:English
SMU Mustangs v Syracuse Orange
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SMU Mustangs (Local)
Prediction 61.83%1.62fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -5.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%61.91%61.76%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.53%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Syracuse Orange (Visit)
Prediction 38.17%2.62fair odd
EV -0.764%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.477%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%38.09%38.24%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.522.6043.48%39.82%39.68%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SMU Mustangs (Local): 61.83%; Syracuse Orange (Visit): 38.17%. For Syracuse Orange (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -0.764%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.91%E -0.743%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.91%E -0.743%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.82%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 20:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 20:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.82%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 19:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.53%E -0.592%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 20:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.02%E -3.33%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 19:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 19:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.49%E -5.74%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.49%E -5.74%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 20:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-10 19:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.65% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.35% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 20:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-10 20:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-03-10 20:15 |