L’École des cotes

SMU Mustangs v Syracuse Orange

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SMU Mustangs (Local)

Prévision 61.83%1.62cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -5.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.05%61.91%61.76%63.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.53%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Syracuse Orange (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.17%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.764%
Avantage -0.294%
Kelly -0.477%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.25%38.09%38.24%39.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.522.6043.48%39.82%39.68%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 20:14
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 19:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-10 18:30
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.91%E -0.743%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.91%E -0.743%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 18:30
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.82%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 20:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:30
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 19:40
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 20:20
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 20:15
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 18:30
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.82%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 19:45
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:15
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.53%E -0.592%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:50
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 20:15
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.02%E -3.33%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:29
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 19:50
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:45
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:10
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:14
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:10
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:14
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.49%E -5.74%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 20:15
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.49%E -5.74%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 20:14
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-03-10 20:15
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-10 19:50
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.65%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.35%1.0%2026-03-10 20:25
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-10 20:15