La escuela de los momios

SMU Mustangs v Syracuse Orange

Inicio: 2026-03-10 20:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SMU Mustangs (Local)

Predicción 61.83%1.62momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -5.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.05%61.91%61.76%63.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.531.531.5768.97%65.53%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Syracuse Orange (Visitante)

Predicción 38.17%2.62momio equitativo
EV -0.764%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.477%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.25%38.09%38.24%39.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.522.6043.48%39.82%39.68%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 20:14
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 19:40
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.92%E -1.86%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:40
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-10 18:30
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.91%E -0.743%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.91%E -0.743%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 18:30
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.82%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 20:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:30
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.16%E -2.68%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 19:40
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 20:20
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 20:15
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 18:30
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -3.82%E -1.51%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 19:45
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.78%E -3.10%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:15
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.53%E -0.592%K -0.966%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 18:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:50
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:55
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 20:20
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.40%E -3.53%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.21%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:35
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 20:15
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -8.02%E -3.33%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 18:29
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.02%E -3.96%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 20:05
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 19:50
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:45
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.63%E -4.39%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:10
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:14
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:10
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.25%E -4.83%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 20:14
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -7.87%E -5.28%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -0.764%E -0.294%K -0.477%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-10 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.49%E -5.74%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 20:15
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -8.49%E -5.74%K -17.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 20:14
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.34%E -7.13%K -22.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-03-10 20:15
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-10 19:50
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.65%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.35%1.0%2026-03-10 20:25
ProphetX1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-10 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-10 20:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-10 20:15