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San Francisco Dons v Portland Pilots
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Francisco Dons (Local)
Prediction 71.41%1.40fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.983%
Kelly +3.32%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%71.40%71.35%75.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.321.331.4280.65%75.61%75.47%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portland Pilots (Visit)
Prediction 28.59%3.50fair odd
EV +11.52%
Edge +2.95%
Kelly +3.97%
Growth +0.457%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.12%28.60%28.65%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.293.333.9036.36%30.39%30.08%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Dons (Local): 71.41%; Portland Pilots (Visit): 28.59%. For Portland Pilots (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -11.46%E -9.24%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +11.52%E +2.95%K +3.97%G +0.457% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +4.37%E +1.20%K +1.65%G +0.072% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.081%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 01:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 01:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 01:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.40%E +0.983%K +3.32%G +0.046% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.51%E -6.49%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -21.37%E -7.77%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33% | -0.1% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:03 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 44.30% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 55.70% | 77.8% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |