La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
San Francisco Dons v Portland Pilots
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
San Francisco Dons (Local)
Predicción 71.41%1.40momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.983%
Kelly +3.32%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.59%71.40%71.35%75.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.321.331.4280.65%75.61%75.47%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Portland Pilots (Visitante)
Predicción 28.59%3.50momio equitativo
EV +11.52%
Ventaja +2.95%
Kelly +3.97%
Crecimiento +0.457%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.12%28.60%28.65%33.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.293.333.9036.36%30.39%30.08%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -11.46%E -9.24%K -47.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +11.52%E +2.95%K +3.97%G +0.457% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| BetUS | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +4.37%E +1.20%K +1.65%G +0.072% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.081%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 01:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 23:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 01:35 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 01:23 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| Fliff | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 01:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 01:20 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 01:24 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.40%E +0.983%K +3.32%G +0.046% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.51%E -6.49%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:03 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -21.37%E -7.77%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33% | -0.1% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:03 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 44.30% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 55.70% | 77.8% | 2026-03-08 02:05 |