A Escola das Odds

San Francisco Dons v Portland Pilots

Início: 2026-03-08 02:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

San Francisco Dons (Local)

Previsão 71.41%1.40odd justa
EV +1.40%
Vantagem +0.983%
Kelly +3.32%
Crescimento +0.046%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.59%71.40%71.35%75.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.241.321.331.4280.65%75.61%75.47%70.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Pilots (Visitante)

Previsão 28.59%3.50odd justa
EV +11.52%
Vantagem +2.95%
Kelly +3.97%
Crescimento +0.457%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.12%28.60%28.65%33.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.293.333.9036.36%30.39%30.08%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -11.46%E -9.24%K -47.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +11.52%E +2.95%K +3.97%G +0.457%6.3%2026-03-08 02:04
BetUS1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +4.37%E +1.20%K +1.65%G +0.072%3.7%2026-03-08 01:59
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055%3.9%2026-03-08 01:59
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -6.46%E -4.93%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +3.80%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.055%3.9%2026-03-08 01:59
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.081%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 01:24
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 01:49
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -1.35%E -0.391%K -0.551%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:29
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:35
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 01:23
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:59
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:59
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:04
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:04
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 01:59
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:04
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 01:59
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 01:54
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -8.60%E -6.72%K -30.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -2.78%E -0.817%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 01:55
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:04
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:04
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -4.21%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 02:04
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 02:04
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.60%E -2.67%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 01:24
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.07%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 02:04
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:04
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:04
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:05
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 02:05
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 02:04
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:24
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 01:20
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.32%E -3.22%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 02:04
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 01:54
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.89%E -2.12%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 02:05
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 02:05
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -5.74%E -4.35%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.36%E -3.66%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 02:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.17%E -5.52%K -23.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -12.79%E -4.19%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 01:20
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.03%E -3.78%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 01:24
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.40%E +0.983%K +3.32%G +0.046%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -18.51%E -6.49%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:03
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -1.46%E -1.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -21.37%E -7.77%K -12.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 02:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.34I 74.63%NM 74.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.33%-0.1%2026-03-08 01:59
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-08 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-03-08 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-03-08 02:05
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%5.2%2026-03-08 02:03
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 44.30%1.01I 99.01%NM 55.70%77.8%2026-03-08 02:05