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Robert Morris Colonials v Youngstown St Penguins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Robert Morris Colonials (Local)
Prediction 61.58%1.62fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.79%61.53%61.58%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.561.5967.57%64.65%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Youngstown St Penguins (Visit)
Prediction 38.42%2.60fair odd
EV -0.100%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.063%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.89%38.47%38.42%40.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.482.6043.48%40.59%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Robert Morris Colonials (Local): 61.58%; Youngstown St Penguins (Visit): 38.42%. For Youngstown St Penguins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.603. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.600, with an expected value of -0.100%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.09%E -1.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.100%E -0.039%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -10.86%E -4.68%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.02%E -0.793%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.41%E -0.947%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -9.32%E -3.95%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.71%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.869%E -0.337%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 21:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.63%E -5.06%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.63%E -5.06%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.100%E -0.039%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.02%E -4.65%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -2.79%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79% | -0.2% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 22:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |