La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60
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| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.09%E -1.32%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:39 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Everygame | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.100%E -0.039%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 21:59 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -10.86%E -4.68%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 23:40 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.02%E -0.793%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.41%E -0.947%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -9.32%E -3.95%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.71%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.869%E -0.337%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 21:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.63%E -5.06%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.63%E -5.06%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.100%E -0.039%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.02%E -4.65%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -2.79%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:00 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79% | -0.2% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 22:05 |
| Novig | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |