La escuela de los momios

Robert Morris Colonials v Youngstown St Penguins

Inicio: 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Robert Morris Colonials (Local)

Predicción 61.58%1.62momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.79%61.53%61.58%63.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.551.561.5967.57%64.65%64.10%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Youngstown St Penguins (Visitante)

Predicción 38.42%2.60momio equitativo
EV -0.100%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.063%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.89%38.47%38.42%40.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.462.482.6043.48%40.59%40.32%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.09%E -1.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:39
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 22:00
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 23:55
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 22:30
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.32%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:40
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.100%E -0.039%K -0.063%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 21:59
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 22:55
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.25%E -0.488%K -0.798%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 23:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:24
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:40
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:40
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:40
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:40
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:40
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:40
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -10.47%E -4.50%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -10.86%E -4.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 23:40
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:00
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.02%E -0.793%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 22:00
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.41%E -0.947%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 21:59
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.51%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -9.32%E -3.95%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:10
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.71%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:54
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.869%E -0.337%K -0.550%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 21:58
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:50
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.63%E -5.06%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.63%E -5.06%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:00
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.100%E -0.039%K -0.063%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 22:00
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:45
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.40%E -4.21%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:45
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.02%E -4.65%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:30
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 23:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.63%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 23:49
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -8.87%E -5.99%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -2.79%E -1.10%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.61I 62.11%NM 62.21%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.79%-0.2%2026-03-04 23:50
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-03-04 23:55
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-03-04 22:05
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%2.0%2026-03-04 23:55
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-04 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-03-04 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-03-04 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-03-04 23:30