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Norfolk St Spartans v South Carolina St Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Norfolk St Spartans (Local)
Prediction 81.90%1.22fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -18.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.72%81.95%81.92%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.171.1887.72%86.17%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 18.10%5.52fair odd
EV +3.19%
Edge +0.559%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.67%18.05%18.08%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.135.105.7021.74%19.50%19.61%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norfolk St Spartans (Local): 81.90%; South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit): 18.10%. For South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.19%E +0.559%K +0.678%G +0.022% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.433%E -0.079%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.433%E -0.079%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.24%E -0.416%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:27 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.02%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.98%EV -4.24%E -0.801%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 03:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -3.36%E -2.85%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -11.48%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.36%E -2.85%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.01% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.99% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |