La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.19%E +0.559%K +0.678%G +0.022% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.433%E -0.079%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.433%E -0.079%K -0.096%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 15:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.24%E -0.416%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 15:04 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 16:04 |
| Bovada | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:27 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.02%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.98%EV -4.24%E -0.801%K -0.987%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Betway | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Neds | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Unibet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| betPARX | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| Fliff | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 17:05 |
| Betsson | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 20:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -3.36%E -2.85%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -11.48%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.36%E -2.85%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
| Coral | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 20:25 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 20:45 |
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.01% | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.99% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |