L’École des cotes

Norfolk St Spartans v South Carolina St Bulldogs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Norfolk St Spartans (Local)

Prévision 81.90%1.22cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -18.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
79.72%81.95%81.92%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.161.171.1887.72%86.17%85.47%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

South Carolina St Bulldogs (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.10%5.52cote équitable
EV +3.19%
Avantage +0.559%
Kelly +0.678%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.67%18.05%18.08%20.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.135.105.7021.74%19.50%19.61%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.19%E +0.559%K +0.678%G +0.022%5.3%2026-02-21 15:05
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.433%E -0.079%K -0.096%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 13:50
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.433%E -0.079%K -0.096%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 15:04
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.24%E -0.416%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 15:04
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 16:04
Bovada1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:27
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 20:55
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.05%E -0.765%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 20:55
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 82.02%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.98%EV -4.24%E -0.801%K -0.987%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:29
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 14:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.96%E -0.945%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 20:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:05
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.86%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 14:05
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
Unibet (NL)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
BetRivers1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
Unibet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
Svenska Spel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
ATG (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:25
betPARX1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
Bally Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.67%E -1.50%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 20:20
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 20:20
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 20:30
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.82%E -5.06%K -38.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:05
Betsson1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 19:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 03:05
NordicBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.48%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 20:05
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -3.36%E -2.85%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -11.48%E -2.35%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 20:25
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.36%E -2.85%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:05
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.00%E -4.31%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 20:25
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.64%E -5.82%K -47.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:05
TABtouch1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.18%E -3.57%K -24.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 20:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.68%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.32%0.4%2026-02-21 20:45
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-02-21 20:45
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 82.01%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.99%3.3%2026-02-21 20:35