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New Mexico Lobos v San Diego St Aztecs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Mexico Lobos (Local)
Prediction 54.26%1.84fair odd
EV -0.710%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%54.33%54.26%56.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.761.8358.82%57.12%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego St Aztecs (Visit)
Prediction 45.74%2.19fair odd
EV -0.280%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%45.67%45.74%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.082.1850.00%48.33%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Mexico Lobos (Local): 54.26%; San Diego St Aztecs (Visit): 45.74%. For San Diego St Aztecs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -0.280%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.710%E -0.388%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 18:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.22%E -4.22%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.22%E -4.22%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 18:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 18:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85% | 1.2% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 18:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |