A Escola das Odds

New Mexico Lobos v San Diego St Aztecs

Início: 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New Mexico Lobos (Local)

Previsão 54.26%1.84odd justa
EV -0.710%
Vantagem -0.388%
Kelly -0.855%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.22%54.33%54.26%56.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.751.761.8358.82%57.12%56.82%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego St Aztecs (Visitante)

Previsão 45.74%2.19odd justa
EV -0.280%
Vantagem -0.128%
Kelly -0.237%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.96%45.67%45.74%47.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.072.082.1850.00%48.33%48.08%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.710%E -0.388%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:52
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 18:45
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:54
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:54
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:54
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:54
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:53
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:54
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:54
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:54
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 17:54
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 17:54
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:19
TAB1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:54
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:54
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:54
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:54
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.22%E -4.22%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.22%E -4.22%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:19
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-28 18:34
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-02-28 18:54
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-02-28 18:04