L’École des cotes

New Mexico Lobos v San Diego St Aztecs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New Mexico Lobos (Local)

Prévision 54.26%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.710%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.855%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.22%54.33%54.26%56.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.751.761.8358.82%57.12%56.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego St Aztecs (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.74%2.19cote équitable
EV -0.280%
Avantage -0.128%
Kelly -0.237%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.96%45.67%45.74%47.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.072.082.1850.00%48.33%48.08%45.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.710%E -0.388%K -0.855%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 18:52
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.31%E -2.57%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 18:45
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.34%E -1.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 17:54
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 18:54
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:54
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:54
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:54
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.97%E -2.24%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 17:53
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:54
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:54
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.51%E -2.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.60%E -3.76%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 18:54
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.85%E -2.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 18:54
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:54
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:54
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.05%E -2.89%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 17:54
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.65%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 17:54
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 18:19
TAB1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.59%E -3.21%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:54
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.94%E -1.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 18:54
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.23%E -3.04%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:54
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:54
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:54
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.14%E -3.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 18:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:54
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -6.68%E -3.88%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -6.68%E -3.28%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 17:54
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.22%E -4.22%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.280%E -0.128%K -0.237%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.22%E -4.22%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:19
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.76%E -4.57%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.51%E -4.26%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 18:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-28 18:34
Novig1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.85%1.2%2026-02-28 18:54
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-02-28 18:54
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-02-28 18:04