Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Morgan St Bears v Delaware St Hornets

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Morgan St Bears (Local)

Prediction 57.85%1.73fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.79%57.75%57.93%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.55%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Delaware St Hornets (Visit)

Prediction 42.15%2.37fair odd
EV -0.954%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.706%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%42.25%42.07%44.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.222.222.3547.17%45.05%45.05%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Morgan St Bears (Local): 57.85%; Delaware St Hornets (Visit): 42.15%. For Delaware St Hornets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.954%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.23%E -1.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 21:40
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 21:39
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.80%E -4.58%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -10.65%E -5.02%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -10.65%E -5.02%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:25
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:55
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:25
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.01%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:50
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.954%E -0.406%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 21:50
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 21:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:45
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 21:50
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 21:49
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -7.70%E -3.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 21:25
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.48%E -1.52%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.12%E -3.72%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:35
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.954%E -0.406%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 21:54
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 21:50
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 21:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:19
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 21:50
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 21:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.43%E -2.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 21:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.43%E -2.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 21:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 21:55
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88%0.7%2026-03-11 21:55
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-11 21:55
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-03-11 21:55
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-11 21:55