La escuela de los momios

Morgan St Bears v Delaware St Hornets

Inicio: 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Morgan St Bears (Local)

Predicción 57.85%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.79%57.75%57.93%59.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.55%60.61%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Delaware St Hornets (Visitante)

Predicción 42.15%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.954%
Ventaja -0.406%
Kelly -0.706%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.81%42.25%42.07%44.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.222.222.3547.17%45.05%45.05%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.23%E -1.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 21:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 21:39
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.80%E -4.58%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -10.65%E -5.02%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:25
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -10.65%E -5.02%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:25
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:55
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:35
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:25
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:25
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.01%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.954%E -0.406%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 21:50
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 21:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:45
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 21:50
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 21:20
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 21:49
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -7.70%E -3.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 21:25
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.48%E -1.52%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 21:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 21:55
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.12%E -3.72%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.954%E -0.406%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 21:54
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 21:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 21:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:19
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 21:50
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 21:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.43%E -2.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 21:50
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.43%E -2.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 21:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 21:55
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88%0.7%2026-03-11 21:55
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-11 21:55
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-03-11 21:55
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-11 21:55