L’École des cotes

Morgan St Bears v Delaware St Hornets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Morgan St Bears (Local)

Prévision 57.85%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -3.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.79%57.75%57.93%59.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.55%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Delaware St Hornets (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.15%2.37cote équitable
EV -0.954%
Avantage -0.406%
Kelly -0.706%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.81%42.25%42.07%44.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.222.222.3547.17%45.05%45.05%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.23%E -1.32%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 21:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 21:39
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -8.96%E -4.15%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 21:40
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 21:40
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -9.80%E -4.58%K -8.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-11 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -10.65%E -5.02%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:25
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -2.81%E -1.67%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -10.65%E -5.02%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 21:25
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:55
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:50
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:35
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:25
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-11 21:25
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -3.39%E -2.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -6.01%E -2.70%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 21:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.954%E -0.406%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-11 21:50
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-11 21:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 21:45
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.54%E -2.75%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 21:50
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-11 21:20
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 21:49
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.18%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.82%EV -7.70%E -3.51%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 21:25
ReBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.48%E -1.52%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 21:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 21:55
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -8.12%E -3.72%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -0.954%E -0.406%K -0.706%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 21:54
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.06%E -1.33%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 21:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.17%E -2.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 21:50
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.28%E -3.31%K -6.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 21:19
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 21:50
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -5.59%E -2.50%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 21:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.43%E -2.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 21:50
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.43%E -2.90%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 21:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.38%E -4.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-11 21:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-03-11 21:55
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.12%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.88%0.7%2026-03-11 21:55
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-11 21:55
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-03-11 21:55
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-11 21:55