A Escola das Odds

Michigan St Spartans v Louisville Cardinals

Início: 2026-03-21 18:48 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Michigan St Spartans (Local)

Previsão 67.73%1.48odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -5.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.21%67.63%67.89%69.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.29%71.43%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Louisville Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 32.27%3.10odd justa
EV +1.64%
Vantagem +0.521%
Kelly +0.763%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.46%32.37%32.11%34.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.682.912.883.1537.31%34.35%34.72%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +1.64%E +0.521%K +0.763%G +0.013%4.2%2026-03-21 18:33
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 18:27
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -0.618%E -0.201%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.59%E -0.520%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.59%E -0.520%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:29
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -2.23%E -0.737%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 18:34
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 18:34
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:43
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:19
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:24
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:29
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:09
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.84%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.81%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.81%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 18:33
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:45
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.21%E -5.26%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 18:24
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.21%E -5.26%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 18:24
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -5.85%E -4.21%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -8.36%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:40
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.88%E -5.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:24
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.88%E -5.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:24
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.46%E -1.71%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:44
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 18:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 16:14
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -13.53%E -5.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-21 18:44
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 18:44
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%1.5%2026-03-21 18:45
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%1.5%2026-03-21 18:40
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%7.5%2026-03-21 18:45