La escuela de los momios

Michigan St Spartans v Louisville Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-03-21 18:48 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Michigan St Spartans (Local)

Predicción 67.73%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -5.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.21%67.63%67.89%69.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.29%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Louisville Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 32.27%3.10momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.521%
Kelly +0.763%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.46%32.37%32.11%34.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.682.912.883.1537.31%34.35%34.72%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +1.64%E +0.521%K +0.763%G +0.013%4.2%2026-03-21 18:33
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 18:27
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -0.618%E -0.201%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.59%E -0.520%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.59%E -0.520%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:29
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -2.23%E -0.737%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 18:34
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 18:34
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:43
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:19
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:24
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:29
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:09
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.84%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.81%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.81%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 18:33
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:45
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.21%E -5.26%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 18:24
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.21%E -5.26%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 18:24
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -5.85%E -4.21%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -8.36%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:40
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.88%E -5.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:24
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.88%E -5.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:24
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.46%E -1.71%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:44
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 18:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 16:14
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -13.53%E -5.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-21 18:44
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 18:44
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%1.5%2026-03-21 18:45
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%1.5%2026-03-21 18:40
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%7.5%2026-03-21 18:45