L’École des cotes

Michigan St Spartans v Louisville Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 18:48 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Michigan St Spartans (Local)

Prévision 67.73%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -5.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.21%67.63%67.89%69.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4473.53%71.29%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Louisville Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.27%3.10cote équitable
EV +1.64%
Avantage +0.521%
Kelly +0.763%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.46%32.37%32.11%34.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.682.912.883.1537.31%34.35%34.72%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +1.64%E +0.521%K +0.763%G +0.013%4.2%2026-03-21 18:33
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-21 18:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +0.027%E +0.009%K +0.013%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 18:27
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -0.618%E -0.201%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.59%E -0.520%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:29
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.59%E -0.520%K -0.774%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 18:29
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -2.23%E -0.737%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-21 18:34
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 18:34
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:43
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:19
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:24
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:29
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.20%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 18:09
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -3.84%E -1.29%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.81%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.81%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 18:09
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.46%E -1.86%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 18:33
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.82%E -2.69%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 18:45
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.21%E -5.26%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 18:24
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.21%E -5.26%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.43%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 18:24
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 18:44
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.07%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.04%E -2.82%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:44
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -5.85%E -4.21%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -8.36%E -2.94%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:40
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 18:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.53%E -4.73%K -17.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.88%E -5.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:24
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.88%E -5.80%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.65%E -3.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 18:24
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.46%E -1.71%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 18:44
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.50%E -3.19%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 18:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.17%E -3.70%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.27%E -4.10%K -6.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 16:14
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -3.14%E -2.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -13.53%E -5.05%K -8.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-03-21 18:44
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 18:44
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-21 18:45
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%1.5%2026-03-21 18:45
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%1.5%2026-03-21 18:40
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%7.5%2026-03-21 18:45