Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

LIU Sharks v Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LIU Sharks (Local)

Prediction 80.94%1.24fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -9.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.04%80.82%80.91%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.14%83.68%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (Visit)

Prediction 19.06%5.25fair odd
EV +4.84%
Edge +0.881%
Kelly +1.08%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%19.18%19.09%21.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.704.605.5023.26%21.30%21.74%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LIU Sharks (Local): 80.94%; Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (Visit): 19.06%. For Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.73%E -6.78%K -55.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +4.84%E +0.881%K +1.08%G +0.052%5.9%2026-02-28 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.079%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.874%E -0.168%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 15:10
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 15:10
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 10:44
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -6.78%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.68%E -3.10%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:00
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.68%E -3.10%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:00
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.92%E -6.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:15
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.11%E -5.27%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:00
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.11%E -5.27%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
betPARX🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:09
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -13.27%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:40
TAB🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.12%E -3.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 16:00
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.12%E -3.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 16:00
BetRivers🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:40
Unibet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -18.03%E -4.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.03%E -4.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-02-28 17:03
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-02-28 17:44
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%3.8%2026-02-28 16:50
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%4.6%2026-02-28 17:54