L’École des cotes

LIU Sharks v Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

LIU Sharks (Local)

Prévision 80.94%1.24cote équitable
EV -2.07%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -9.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.04%80.82%80.91%82.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.191.191.2187.72%84.14%83.68%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.06%5.25cote équitable
EV +4.84%
Avantage +0.881%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.17%19.18%19.09%21.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.704.605.5023.26%21.30%21.74%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.73%E -6.78%K -55.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +4.84%E +0.881%K +1.08%G +0.052%5.9%2026-02-28 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.079%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 14:20
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.874%E -0.168%K -0.208%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 15:10
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 15:10
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:10
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 15:10
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 10:44
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -6.78%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:15
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.68%E -3.10%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:00
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.68%E -3.10%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:00
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.92%E -6.02%K -46.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 14:15
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.11%E -5.27%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 14:00
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.11%E -5.27%K -38.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 13:59
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Bally Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
betPARX1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:09
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:09
Fliff1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -13.27%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:39
Hard Rock Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 17:40
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.12%E -3.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 16:00
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.12%E -3.66%K -4.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 16:00
BetRivers1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:40
Unibet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Unibet (NL)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -18.03%E -4.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.03%E -4.19%K -5.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-02-28 17:03
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%3.0%2026-02-28 17:44
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%3.8%2026-02-28 16:50
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%4.6%2026-02-28 17:54