La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.73%E -6.78%K -55.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +4.84%E +0.881%K +1.08%G +0.052% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +0.079%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 14:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -0.874%E -0.168%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Caesars | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.69%E -0.937%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 10:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.56%EV -4.49%E -3.81%K -24.97%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.44%EV -6.78%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 15:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.68%E -3.10%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Neds | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.68%E -3.10%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -6.92%E -6.02%K -46.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -9.45%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.11%E -5.27%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Betsson | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -6.11%E -5.27%K -38.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -10.41%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| betPARX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.31%E -2.68%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 17:09 |
| Fliff | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -13.27%E -2.92%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| TAB | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.22%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.12%E -3.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.30%E -4.53%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -16.12%E -3.66%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Unibet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -17.08%E -3.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -2.07%E -1.71%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -18.03%E -4.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -2.88%E -2.40%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -18.03%E -4.19%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:03 |
| Kalshi | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 17:44 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 17:54 |