Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.14
assuming max odds 7.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LIU Sharks (Local): 85.60%; Chicago St Cougars (Visit): 14.40%. For Chicago St Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.95. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.98%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.98%E +1.06%K +1.23%G +0.098% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -1.24%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -1.24%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 20:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.82%E -0.418%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.32%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.68%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 22:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 23:37 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.86%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.86%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.02%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.02%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 23:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -10.74%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 23:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 22:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.41%E -2.12%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -16.50%E -2.84%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 22:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -17.22%E -2.99%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -25.13%E -4.83%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.70% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.30% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 23:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |