La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.98%E +1.06%K +1.23%G +0.098% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 23:29 |
| Betway | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-02-26 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -1.24%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -1.24%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 20:25 |
| GTbets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.82%E -0.418%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-26 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.32%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.68%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 22:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 23:37 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 16:00 |
| William Hill | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 15:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.86%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 22:35 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.86%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-26 22:35 |
| Betsson | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.02%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.02%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 23:24 |
| Fliff | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -10.74%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 23:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| betPARX | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| Coral | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 22:35 |
| TAB | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.41%E -2.12%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -16.50%E -2.84%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 22:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -17.22%E -2.99%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 22:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -25.13%E -4.83%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85% | 1.3% | 2026-02-26 23:30 |
| Novig | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.70% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.30% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 23:29 |
| ProphetX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21% | 4.4% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |