L’École des cotes

LIU Sharks v Chicago St Cougars

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

LIU Sharks (Local)

Prévision 85.60%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -17.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.28%85.67%85.37%87.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.111.121.1491.74%89.85%89.29%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago St Cougars (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.40%6.95cote équitable
EV +7.98%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.098%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.69%14.33%14.63%17.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.326.257.5019.23%15.83%16.00%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.98%E +1.06%K +1.23%G +0.098%5.1%2026-02-26 23:29
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-26 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001%4.4%2026-02-26 14:35
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.2%2026-02-26 23:30
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.780%E +0.111%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.2%2026-02-26 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -1.24%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 20:24
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.96%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 14.04%EV -1.24%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 20:25
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -2.82%E -0.418%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 18:30
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 85.32%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.68%EV -6.27%E -0.964%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 23:54
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 22:34
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 15:40
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:37
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 16:00
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.42%E -0.987%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.86%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 22:35
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -4.98%E -4.49%K -45.28%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -7.86%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 22:35
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.02%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 23:25
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.69%E -6.14%K -74.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -10.02%E -1.60%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 23:24
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -10.74%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-26 23:30
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:49
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
betPARX1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
ATG (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:50
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 23:49
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.84%E -5.31%K -58.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.62%E -2.27%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 22:35
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -2.41%E -2.12%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -16.50%E -2.84%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 22:34
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -17.22%E -2.99%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -25.13%E -4.83%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 23:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-02-26 16:25
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-02-26 23:30
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 85.70%6.71I 14.90%NM 14.30%4.2%2026-02-26 23:29
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%4.4%2026-02-26 23:54