Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Moyne Dolphins v Stonehill Skyhawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Le Moyne Dolphins (Local)

Prediction 65.96%1.52fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%66.01%66.43%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.22%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit)

Prediction 34.04%2.94fair odd
EV +3.84%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.87%
Growth +0.072%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%33.99%33.57%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.582.772.733.0538.76%36.06%36.70%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Le Moyne Dolphins (Local): 65.96%; Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit): 34.04%. For Stonehill Skyhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +3.84%E +1.26%K +1.87%G +0.072%4.2%2026-03-04 23:15
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%3.8%2026-03-04 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%3.8%2026-03-04 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%3.8%2026-03-04 23:14
Everygame🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%3.8%2026-03-04 23:14
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.32%E -5.99%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%5.3%2026-03-04 21:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.32%E -5.99%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%5.3%2026-03-04 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.27%E -0.438%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.95%E -0.677%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:15
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.97%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:15
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.97%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.05%E -2.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 23:54
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 21:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 23:44
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:45
Fliff🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:20
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.05%E -2.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.37%E -3.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.46%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -3.71%E -2.54%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -12.16%E -4.71%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-04 23:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-04 23:15
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%3.7%2026-03-04 23:55
BetOpenly1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%7.4%2026-03-04 23:55