La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +3.84%E +1.26%K +1.87%G +0.072% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 23:14 |
| Everygame | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 23:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.32%E -5.99%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 21:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.32%E -5.99%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.27%E -0.438%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.95%E -0.677%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.97%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.97%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.05%E -2.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Bovada | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:45 |
| Fliff | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:20 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| betPARX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.05%E -2.07%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.37%E -3.01%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.46%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -3.71%E -2.54%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -12.16%E -4.71%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 23:44 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64% | 2.5% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |
| BetOpenly | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 23:55 |