L’École des cotes

Le Moyne Dolphins v Stonehill Skyhawks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Le Moyne Dolphins (Local)

Prévision 65.96%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -4.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.86%66.01%66.43%68.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.441.441.4871.94%69.22%69.44%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stonehill Skyhawks (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.04%2.94cote équitable
EV +3.84%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.46%33.99%33.57%36.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.582.772.733.0538.76%36.06%36.70%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +3.84%E +1.26%K +1.87%G +0.072%4.2%2026-03-04 23:15
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%3.8%2026-03-04 23:30
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%3.8%2026-03-04 23:15
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%3.8%2026-03-04 23:14
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%3.8%2026-03-04 23:14
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.32%E -5.99%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%5.3%2026-03-04 21:29
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.32%E -5.99%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +2.13%E +0.711%K +1.07%G +0.023%5.3%2026-03-04 23:55
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.27%E -0.438%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.95%E -0.677%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 23:15
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.97%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:15
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.97%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:15
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:50
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.05%E -2.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.67%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 23:54
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 21:44
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:30
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.38%E -2.32%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 23:44
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:45
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.34%E -4.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:20
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.66%E -5.47%K -19.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.08%E -2.99%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:15
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.39%E -1.61%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:15
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.05%E -2.07%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.78%E -3.69%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -4.37%E -3.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -10.46%E -3.98%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 21:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.02%E -3.49%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.80%E -4.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:54
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -3.71%E -2.54%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -12.16%E -4.71%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 23:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-03-04 23:00
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-04 23:15
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%2.5%2026-03-04 23:55
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%3.7%2026-03-04 23:55
BetOpenly1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%7.4%2026-03-04 23:55