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Illinois Fighting Illini v Wisconsin Badgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)
Prediction 75.17%1.33fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -10.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%74.95%75.29%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.2981.97%79.04%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisconsin Badgers (Visit)
Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV +1.78%
Edge +0.435%
Kelly +0.575%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%25.05%24.71%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.753.754.1028.99%26.70%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 75.17%; Wisconsin Badgers (Visit): 24.83%. For Wisconsin Badgers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.78%E +0.435%K +0.575%G +0.010% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 18:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 18:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-13 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-13 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -7.65%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-13 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -14.35%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.35%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.37% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.63% | 0.2% | 2026-03-13 18:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-03-13 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |