L’École des cotes

Illinois Fighting Illini v Wisconsin Badgers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 18:47 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prévision 75.17%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.02%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -10.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.07%74.95%75.29%76.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.2981.97%79.04%78.74%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wisconsin Badgers (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.83%4.03cote équitable
EV +1.78%
Avantage +0.435%
Kelly +0.575%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%25.05%24.71%26.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.753.754.1028.99%26.70%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.78%E +0.435%K +0.575%G +0.010%4.4%2026-03-13 18:25
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 17:15
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 17:15
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 18:25
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 18:24
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:05
Everygame1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:20
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 18:30
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 18:09
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 17:15
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:30
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 17:20
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:29
TAB1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 18:30
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:25
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 18:30
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 17:54
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -7.65%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:09
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:30
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:25
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 18:19
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:35
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:40
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 18:44
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:30
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -14.35%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.35%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.37%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.63%0.2%2026-03-13 18:29
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-13 18:45
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%2.6%2026-03-13 18:45