A Escola das Odds

Illinois Fighting Illini v Wisconsin Badgers

Início: 2026-03-13 18:47 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Previsão 75.17%1.33odd justa
EV -3.02%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -10.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.07%74.95%75.29%76.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.271.271.2981.97%79.04%78.74%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wisconsin Badgers (Visitante)

Previsão 24.83%4.03odd justa
EV +1.78%
Vantagem +0.435%
Kelly +0.575%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.36%25.05%24.71%26.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.453.753.754.1028.99%26.70%26.67%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.78%E +0.435%K +0.575%G +0.010%4.4%2026-03-13 18:25
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 76.04%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV +0.046%E +0.011%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 16:05
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 17:15
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-13 17:15
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 18:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 18:25
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.699%E -0.175%K -0.233%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 18:24
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:05
Everygame1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-13 18:20
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 18:30
BetUS1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-13 18:09
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 17:15
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-13 18:30
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 17:20
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:29
TAB1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 18:30
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.78%E -5.47%K -28.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.29%E -6.79%K -37.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-13 18:25
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-13 18:30
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 17:54
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -7.65%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:09
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:30
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:25
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 18:19
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-13 18:19
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:35
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -3.78%E -2.95%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:40
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 18:44
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.02%E -2.34%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 18:34
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:40
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 18:30
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -14.35%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -14.35%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.29I 77.52%NM 77.37%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.63%0.2%2026-03-13 18:29
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-03-13 18:35
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-13 18:45
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-13 18:45
ProphetX1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%2.6%2026-03-13 18:45