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Illinois Fighting Illini v VCU Rams
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)
Prediction 84.30%1.19fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -20.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.99%84.18%84.27%86.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.131.1590.09%88.66%88.50%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VCU Rams (Visit)
Prediction 15.70%6.37fair odd
EV +11.34%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.211%
assuming max odds 7.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.75%15.82%15.73%19.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.946.007.0920.41%16.84%16.67%14.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Illinois Fighting Illini (Local): 84.30%; VCU Rams (Visit): 15.70%. For VCU Rams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.37. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.09, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.25%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 7.09I 14.10%NM 13.75%EV +11.34%E +1.60%K +1.86%G +0.211% | 2.6% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 00:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.440%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.440%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.85%E -0.297%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.85%E -0.297%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.49%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.20%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -17.56%E -3.34%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -3.06%E -2.66%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -23.05%E -4.70%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 23:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 87.19% | 7.83I 12.77%NM 12.81% | -0.3% | 2026-03-22 00:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.47% | 7.35I 13.61%NM 13.53% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 23:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.7% | 2026-03-22 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62% | 3.6% | 2026-03-22 00:05 |