L’École des cotes

Illinois Fighting Illini v VCU Rams

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 00:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Prévision 84.30%1.19cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -20.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.99%84.18%84.27%86.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.131.131.1590.09%88.66%88.50%86.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VCU Rams (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.70%6.37cote équitable
EV +11.34%
Avantage +1.60%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.211%

avec la cote maximale 7.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.75%15.82%15.73%19.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.905.946.007.0920.41%16.84%16.67%14.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.25%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.75%EV +11.34%E +1.60%K +1.86%G +0.211%2.6%2026-03-22 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 23:49
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 23:49
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008%4.7%2026-03-22 00:03
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.440%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:54
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.440%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:54
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:55
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:55
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:55
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.85%E -0.297%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 23:55
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.85%E -0.297%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 23:54
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:58
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:55
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:54
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:09
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:54
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:04
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:04
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:04
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 00:04
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 00:04
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:54
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:49
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:49
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.49%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 23:50
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:54
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:59
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:49
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 23:50
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.20%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:54
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -17.56%E -3.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 23:55
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -3.06%E -2.66%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -23.05%E -4.70%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 23:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 87.19%7.83I 12.77%NM 12.81%-0.3%2026-03-22 00:04
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-03-22 00:10
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.47%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.53%0.6%2026-03-22 00:09
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-22 00:10
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-03-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-03-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-03-22 00:10
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%3.6%2026-03-22 00:05