A Escola das Odds

Illinois Fighting Illini v VCU Rams

Início: 2026-03-22 00:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Illinois Fighting Illini (Local)

Previsão 84.30%1.19odd justa
EV -3.06%
Vantagem -2.66%
Kelly -20.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.99%84.18%84.27%86.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.131.131.1590.09%88.66%88.50%86.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

VCU Rams (Visitante)

Previsão 15.70%6.37odd justa
EV +11.34%
Vantagem +1.60%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescimento +0.211%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.75%15.82%15.73%19.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.905.946.007.0920.41%16.84%16.67%14.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.25%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.75%EV +11.34%E +1.60%K +1.86%G +0.211%2.6%2026-03-22 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 23:49
ReBet1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008%3.9%2026-03-21 23:49
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +2.07%E +0.319%K +0.377%G +0.008%4.7%2026-03-22 00:03
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.440%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:54
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.34I 15.77%NM 15.13%EV -0.440%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 23:54
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:55
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:55
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.07%E -0.170%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 23:55
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.85%E -0.297%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 23:55
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -1.85%E -0.297%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-21 23:54
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 00:04
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 23:58
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:55
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 23:54
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -5.78%E -0.963%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 00:09
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:54
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:04
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:04
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:04
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 00:04
Svenska Spel1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -8.92%E -1.54%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 00:04
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:54
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:49
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -9.71%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:49
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -10.49%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 23:50
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:54
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:59
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.59%E -4.99%K -46.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 23:49
BoyleSports1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.43%E -5.79%K -58.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -13.63%E -2.48%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 23:50
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.74%E -4.20%K -36.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -15.20%E -2.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 23:54
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.90%E -3.42%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -17.56%E -3.34%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 23:55
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -3.06%E -2.66%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -23.05%E -4.70%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 23:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 87.19%7.83I 12.77%NM 12.81%-0.3%2026-03-22 00:04
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88%0.1%2026-03-22 00:10
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 86.47%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.53%0.6%2026-03-22 00:09
Kalshi1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-22 00:10
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-03-21 23:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-03-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-03-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-03-22 00:10
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%3.6%2026-03-22 00:05