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Gonzaga Bulldogs v Texas Longhorns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 68.81%1.45fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.13%68.79%68.81%69.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.371.4374.07%72.61%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Texas Longhorns (Visit)
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.421%
Kelly +0.609%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%31.21%31.19%32.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.043.2535.71%33.09%32.89%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gonzaga Bulldogs (Local): 68.81%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 31.19%. For Texas Longhorns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV +1.37%E +0.421%K +0.609%G +0.008% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 23:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.75%E -0.556%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 23:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -5.49%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -7.11%E -5.26%K -20.31%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.80%E -1.92%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -6.12%E -2.03%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -1.60%E -1.12%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -6.74%E -2.25%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.29%E -1.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.67%E -2.62%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.29%E -1.61%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.67%E -4.52%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.03% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.97% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.00% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 31.00% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.41% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-03-21 23:10 |